This weekend, we have a PPV card at Atlanta. DraftKings has some solid competitions for us to win a lot of cash from this week and that I can’t wait to chase those huge prizes. The main GPP is a $15 buy-in and $30k belongs to 1st place with a total of $150k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they will compete for a $50k first place cost and $175k will probably be distributed between all 100 admissions that qualify. I will attempt to receive my 2nd and 3rd seats this week if possible. Those Qualifier only competitions can be actual bankroll suckers so be careful chasing those too hard. I’ll probably stick to the top GPP this week and then throw 100 or so entries at the $30k decoration, and then I will probably have a few shots at the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a fantastic amount of drama into money games.
With that said, let us get to a couple plays I enjoy this week Together with my fade of this week:
Money Game play of the week — STACK — Max Holloway $9,100 and Dustin Poirier $7,100
This was the first thing I did when salaries were published. I put these two fighters in my money lineup and I started building out there. I expect this to be among the best fights of all time and I think we get ~200 total DK points from this struggle, and the guaranteed win. I am okay with taking the loss when I can guarantee myself over 100 issues with the stack, but I think 150 is a safe projection for this fight and if we can lock up 3 other wins we should win the vast majority of our cash games. As I always say, we don’t need 6 wins for money games so there’s actually no need to pursue it. Just lock in a secure lineup which you believe will score over 400 total points and you ought to acquire more H2Hs than you lose.
GPP play of the week — Nikita Krylov — $8,200
Krylov is my GPP play of the week because he is the definition of bust or boom. He loses or scores over 100 DK points. That’s what we want in GPPs. This isn’t a confident pick in him winning it is only a shot at his ceiling that is what we search for in the huge GPPs where we’re trying to acquire the best $30k prize. Krylov has finished all 24 of his wins and he has just seen the 3rd round once in his career. This is a good struggle to target on both sides, but I am taking Krylov for the win and I will have a good amount of vulnerability to him this weekend.
Underdog drama of this week — Dustin Poirier — $7,100
I had to place Poirier here. I adore his floor and I believe he is a live underdog. However, IF he wins, he will 100 percent wind up on the 1st place lineup at his 7.1k price-tag. He’s going to score over 100 DK points if he is able to get a victory here and that’s what we are chasing in GPPs. Even if you think Max is going to dominate Poirier I think you should have 1 hedge lineup using Poirier, and this can be an all-in struggle for me. Every lineup I construct will begin with Dustin or Max and I’ll go on from there. Load up with this battle and make sure you get some Poirier exposure.
Fade of this week — Boston Salmon ($8,600)
It was tough to select a fade of this week this week because I believe that you can make an argument for rostering everyone. I wanted to pick a favorite though and I think the favored with among those reduced ceilings is Salmon. I’m picking him to win but that he will not be going for almost any takedowns and when he does not get a finish he likely doesn’t pay off his $8.6k price . I want at least 10x (86-points) when I am rostering somebody and I really don’t see him getting that unless he gets a knockout. Taha is hard so I really don’t observe the knockout happening. I think Salmon does get a unanimous decision win here but it probably scores in the 70’s and that will not win us the large $30k. That’s why he’s my fade of the week.
Thanks for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every struggle on the card and give my complete DraftKings analysis, in Addition to all my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are available at that link too. I’m 66-41 to get +220.23un (+$22,023) because May 19th on Premium Plays)
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